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Why did my Expected Payouts suddenly drop?

If your payout dropped or seems inconsistent, this is normal behaviour for new accounts and doesn’t mean you’ve lost money.

Luana avatar
Written by Luana
Updated over a week ago

When you first start making referrals, our system doesn’t have historical data for your account. In this case, it uses default values to estimate your predicted earnings.

As your referrals begin to be approved or rejected, the system adjusts calculations to reflect your actual performance. This means your predicted earnings can swing up or down, especially in the first days or weeks of activity.

A few key points to remember

  • Confirmed earnings never change. Once a referral is confirmed, your payout for that referral is locked.

  • Predicted earnings include pending referrals. If some are rejected (for example, due to geo restrictions or anti-fraud checks), your predicted total will decrease.

  • Adjustments are normal. Early on, the system has little data, so calculations are less accurate. As more referrals complete their screening periods, your predicted earnings will stabilise and become more reliable.

Example: You may see your predicted earnings at $300 one day and $50 the next. This doesn’t mean you lost $250, it simply means the system recalculated based on more accurate information from your pending referrals.

Key takeaway: There is no bug in your account. What you’re seeing is the system adjusting predictions until enough of your referrals are confirmed or rejected for accurate projections.

Why don’t you see an RCR at first?

When your account is new, all partners will show: “Not enough activity to calculate this metric.”

This means there isn’t enough referral activity yet to calculate your RCR (Referral Confirmation Rate). The system is still collecting data on how many of your referrals pass partner screening.

What happens once you have more data

As more referrals are confirmed or rejected, your RCR will appear. It will look something like this: Mixed (40%) - Good (35–38%) - Exceptional (94%)

The RCR shows the percentage of your referrals that get confirmed by each partner. Once available, SparkLoop uses RCR to calculate predicted earnings much more accurately.

Final takeaway

Early accounts: No RCR, predictions can swing up and down.
Mature accounts: RCR is visible, predictions stabilise.
Always: Confirmed earnings never decrease.

Payouts are triggered once each week, on Thursdays, for earnings from referrals confirmed in the previous week.

The minimum threshold for a payout to be processed is $50 in net earnings. If you haven't reached the $50 payout threshold yet, your earnings will be rolled over into next week's payouts.

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